GALERY II

Senin, 10 November 2008

Wall Street falls, unable to shake economic woes

Monday November 10, 6:14 pm ET
By Madlen Read, AP Business Writer

Stocks turn lower as concerns about US economy dampen enthusiasm over China stimulus plan NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street caved in to its economic anxieties and closed lower Monday, giving up an early rally over a stimulus package in China and refocusing on the acute pullback in spending that is pummeling U.S. companies.

Stocks got only a short-lived boost from China's $586 billion plan to boost its economy through a mix of spending, subsidies, looser credit policies and tax cuts. The package could benefit multinational companies with business in China such as General Electric Co. and Caterpillar Inc.

But Wall Street's optimism quickly waned, as it has tended to do since the mid-September downfall of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and government takeover of the troubled insurance giant American International Group. Market participants realized that while China's stimulus is a positive sign that governments around the world are working to fix the global economy, the stimulus itself will likely have only a limited effect in the United States.

There was little news Monday to placate investors concerned about the health of corporate America. AIG got more money from the U.S. government, but the nation's struggling automakers have yet to hear whether they, too, will get federal aid. And electronics retailer Circuit City Stores Inc. filed for bankruptcy protection.

With few signs of recovery in the economy, investors aren't confident enough to make big bets on stocks, although they look cheap; the major indexes are down about 40 percent from their October 2007 peaks.

"They'd like to be optimistic, but individual investors are still very worried," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer of Johnson Illington Advisors. Uncertainty about the economic outlook is "likely to hold any recovery somewhat in check. We're arguably undervalued, so we can work our way higher. But it's not going to be with a lot of gusto."

Still, while trading was uneven, it was also fairly orderly, especially in the last hour, the time when Wall Street has seen some of its most intense volatility. And it was just the sixth session in eight weeks that the Dow Jones industrials did not close with a triple-digit move.

The Dow fell 73.27, or 0.82 percent, to 8,870.54, after rising by 215 points in early trading and tumbling by as many as 183.

Broader indexes also ended lower. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 11.78, or 1.27 percent, to 919.21, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 30.66, or 1.86 percent, to 1,616.74.

The U.S. government said it would invest $40 billion into AIG, which also reported a nearly $25 billion third-quarter loss Monday. AIG, which got its first bailout in September, has so far received a total of $150 billion in government aid. The government's investment Monday helped the insurer's stock rise 26 cents, or 12 percent, to $2.37, but raised worries that problems in the financial sector might be worse than anticipated. Most bank shares fell.

On Friday, the major indexes rallied, but ended about 4 percent lower on the week after large mid-week losses.

"The fact is, we haven't been holding rallies very well," said Scott Fullman, director of derivatives investment strategy for WJB Capital Group. He said investors appeared be cashing out the gains made Friday ahead of what's expected to be a dismal retail sales report this week, and the bond market's Veterans Day holiday Tuesday.

Anthony Conroy, managing director and head trader for BNY ConvergEx Group, said "we're in that bottoming process," but that trading is apt to be volatile at least until Nov. 15 -- the last day that hedge funds and mutual funds can get calls for redemptions for 2008. Redemptions are when investors ask for their money back.

With stocks trading erratically, investors moved to the relative safety of government bonds.

The Treasury auctioned three-year Treasury notes for the first time since May 2007, and the auction saw strong buying. Meanwhile, the three-month Treasury bill's yield fell to 0.22 percent from 0.28 percent late Friday, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.76 percent from 3.79 percent late Friday.

Lower yields indicate stronger demand.

Investors are also watching for developments with General Motors Corp., Chrysler and Ford Motor Co. after the automakers met with congressional leaders last week in hopes of securing financial help.

GM -- one of the 30 companies that make up the Dow -- fell $1, or 23 percent, to $3.36. Ford shed 9 cents, or 4.5 percent, to $1.93.

Democratic leaders in Congress on Saturday asked the Bush administration to provide more aid to the struggling auto industry, which is losing money and shedding jobs as sales have dropped to their lowest level in a quarter century. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said in a letter to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson that the administration should consider expanding the $700 billion bailout program to include car companies.

On Monday, Circuit City filed for bankruptcy protection about a week after it said it would close 20 percent of its stores. The electronics retailer, based in Richmond, Va., has been struggling as nervous consumers spend less and credit has become tighter. Shares sank 15 cents, or 60 percent, to 10 cents.

In other corporate news, Tribune Co., the owner of the Los Angeles Times and Chicago Tribune, said it swung to a third-quarter loss of $121.6 million due to falling newspaper advertising sales.

Citigroup Inc. is in talks to acquire a regional bank to boost the bank's presence in areas it already operates, including the Northeast, California and Texas, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal. The report did not name a potential target. Citigroup shares fell 61 cents, or 5.2 percent, to $11.21.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 12.69, or 2.51 percent, to 493.10.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.45 billion shares, down from 4.80 billion shares late Friday.

A barrel of light sweet crude rose $1.37 to settle at $62.41 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed up 5.81 percent, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 3.52 percent. In Europe, the Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.89 percent, Germany's DAX added 1.76 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.06 percent.

Minggu, 09 November 2008

Democrats want Bush to help ailing automakers

Sunday November 9, 3:50 am ET
By Deb Riechmann, Associated Press Writer

Reid, Pelosi ask Treasury to provide temporary help to automakers facing economic struggles

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Democratic leaders in Congress asked the Bush administration on Saturday to provide more aid to the struggling auto industry, which is bleeding cash and jobs as sales have dropped to their lowest level in a quarter-century.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said in a letter to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson that the administration should consider expanding the $700 billion bailout to include car companies.

"A healthy automobile manufacturing sector is essential to the restoration of financial market stability, the overall health of our economy, and the livelihood of the automobile sector's work force," they wrote. "The economic downturn and the crisis in our financial markets further imperiled our domestic automobile industry and its work force."

There was no immediate comment from the Bush administration about the request to broaden the $700 billion financial industry bailout so automakers could get a share.

Automakers already want an additional $50 billion in loans from Congress to help them survive tough economic conditions and pay for health care obligations for retirees. The companies are seeking the loans as part of an economic aid plan that is now more likely to come together early next year rather than in a postelection session of Congress this month.

Top executives of General Motors, Ford, Chrysler LLC and the president of the United Auto Workers met with congressional leaders Thursday to discuss the loans. The money would be on top of the $25 billion in loans that Congress passed in September to help retool auto plants to build more fuel-efficient vehicles.

"We left the meetings convinced that our nation's automobile industry -- the heart of our manufacturing sector -- and the jobs of tens of thousands of American workers are at risk," Pelosi, D-Calif., and Reid, D-Nev., said in their letter to Paulson.

Automakers want the new loans included in an economic aid plan that is now more likely to come together early next year rather than in a postelection session of Congress this month. If Congress approved more loans, it would come with strings attached. Potential protections include limits on executive compensation, awarding the government preferred stock in the companies and a suspension of dividend payments to investors.

GM, the nation's largest automaker, warned Friday that it may run out of money by the end of the year after piling up billions in third-quarter losses and burning through cash at an alarming rate. GM's chairman and chief executive, Rick Wagoner, said the company will take every action possible to avoid bankruptcy. GM has planned more job cuts, including another 5,500 salaried and factory workers, but company officials warn that those measures alone would not be enough and that federal aid was essential.

Ford, which recently announced it would slash more than 2,000 white collar jobs, also has seen a rapid decline in its cash supply. But it is in better shape because the company borrowed billions of dollars in 2007 by mortgaging its factories. The company said it had enough cash to make it through 2009.

"We must safeguard the interests of American taxpayers, protect the hundreds of thousands of automobile workers and retirees, stop the erosion of our manufacturing base, and bolster our economy," the Democratic leaders in Congress wrote.

President-elect Obama said Friday his transition team would explore policy options to help the auto industry. Obama's economic transition team includes two allies of the U.S. auto industry -- Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm and former Rep. David Bonior, D-Mich.

Minggu, 26 Oktober 2008

Companies start competing for bailout money

Insurance firms, auto companies and foreign banks petition for part of $700 billion bailout

Mampukah bailout bukan sekedar pepesan kosong ?

minggu ini tampaknya masih juga market violatil , jaga margin anda , saya mencoba untuk menggunakan cycle lines menentukan waktu open position , pada gambar tertera 2 vertical line , pertama dengan 5 x 15 menit dan kedua 13 x 15 menit, akan kita tunggu harga menyentuh kedua vertical tersebut , selanjutnya lakukan open position, berapa tepat harganya akan kita bahas setelah terjadi open market.

Selasa, 21 Oktober 2008

snowball , several companies earnings misses


laporan pemasukan beberapa perusahaan mengalami penurunan, crisis bagai bola salju apakah crisis akan berlanjut ke arah lebih parah lagi ?

hati2 dengan margin anda Tahanan kuat 1.2873 tembus akan berlanjut untuk trend down

Selasa, 07 Oktober 2008

Global Crisis , cut rate ?


Crisis Global nampaknya melanda dimana-dimana sudah mulai melkaukan action cut rate, FED juga beri signal cut rate eropa juga. Berhati hati dalam situasi seperti ini untuk melkaukan trade.

Minggu, 05 Oktober 2008

Pass Bailout ?


Tampaknya bailout di setujui tetapi market masih menunggu reaksi setelah persetujuan bailout tersebut, dan euro juga tampaknya sudah mulai dengan reaksi yang sama, mampukah teknikal monthly untuk dipatahkan? karena saat close market euro/usd berada dalam posisi siap untuk melakukan break.

dan di lihat dr TF15 euro/usd membuat pondasi untuk bullish tetapi kondisi candle siap untuk bearish, lakukan saja sell dan buy saat berada di areal label BUY or SELL.